As winter blankets Canada, the real estate landscape undergoes significant shifts. The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) reported a decline in the national benchmark price from its peak in June 2023, attributing it to both seasonal trends and rising borrowing costs. We’ll delve into the nuanced changes across major cities, highlighting areas experiencing the most substantial price drops and exploring variations in single-family homes and condos.

National Overview:

Post-June 2023, 18 out of 21 major markets witness a benchmark price decrease exceeding 3%. Kitchener-Waterloo tops the list with an 8.9% decline since June, emphasizing the impact of seasonality and heightened borrowing costs.

Ontario’s Affordability Shift:

Ontario cities, including London & St. Thomas, Greater Toronto, and Hamilton-Burlington, witness benchmark prices plummeting by over 7% since June. However, this decline allows for a stabilization closer to pre-pandemic levels, presenting potential opportunities for motivated buyers.

Remarkable Exceptions:

Calgary, St. John’s, and Saint John defy the trend, showing price increases since June. Calgary, notably, experiences a 10.5% surge since November 2022, making it an outlier.

Single-Family Home Dynamics:

Seven Ontario cities witness the most significant percentage drops in single-family home prices. Kitchener-Waterloo again leads with a 9.7% decline since June. Despite Ontario’s prominent decline, buyers nationwide find opportunities in more affordable markets like Regina, Winnipeg, and Halifax-Dartmouth.

Condo Market Resilience:

The demand for affordable condos remains robust in 2023, resulting in a milder drop compared to single-family homes. Kitchener-Waterloo, Greater Toronto, and London & St. Thomas observe more than a 4% decline in condo prices since June, while Saint John and St. John’s experience notable condo price growth.


Q1: Why do prices drop in winter?

A1: Seasonal factors contribute to a slowdown in sales during colder months, impacting prices. Additionally, rising borrowing costs play a role.

Q2: Are price drops uniform across Canada?

A2: No, each city exhibits unique dynamics. Ontario experiences significant drops, while Calgary stands out with price increases.

Q3: How can buyers leverage the market?

A3: Motivated buyers may find winter prices more aligned with their budget. Exploring stabilizing markets presents opportunities.

Q4: Any exceptions to the decline trend?

A4: Calgary, St. John’s, and Saint John showcase resilience with price increases, signaling regional variations.

Q5: What about the condo market?

A5: Condos, driven by affordability, demonstrate resilience. Cities like Saint John and St. John’s experience notable condo price growth.


Winter reveals a dynamic real estate landscape with varying degrees of price shifts across Canada. Buyers should consider market-specific nuances and seek guidance from local real estate agents. Understanding these trends ensures informed decisions in navigating the evolving Canadian real estate market.

Author: Pritish Kumar Halder

Passionate about real estate dynamics, Pritish Kumar Halder combines industry insights with a knack for clear communication. With a keen eye on market trends, he aims to empower readers with valuable information for navigating the intricate world of real estate.